Why Hormuz odds are spiking

February 17th, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're monitoring today: Top News Iran Claps Back Oil futures and odds for Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz are spiking as Tehran conducts missile exercises and Khamenei ramps up threats on U.S. carriers. Read more → ​ Quick Links U.S. strikes Iran by? → US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28? → Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of February? → Pentagon vibe coders in trouble? Traders are skeptical that Pete Hegseth will ban access to Claude. This follows reports that Anthropic was not happy about how the military used their AI tools during the Maduro capture. Read more → ​ Quick Links Which company has the best AI model end of February? → Sino-Canadian Bromance China has announced visa-free travel for Canadians. In January, Trump warned: "If Canada makes a deal with China, it will immediately be hit with a 100% Tariff against all Canadian goods and products coming into the U.S.A." Read more → ​ Quick Links 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? → ​ Breaking News Odds US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? View market → 5% -3% Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? View market → 19% -26% Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? View market → 23% -23% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...? 2d "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office 26m See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Will the State of the Union address be delayed? 14h ago Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? 15h ago Will MrBeast get married by December 31? 19h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Which company has the best AI model end of February? $940.4K Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? $878.8K US strikes Iran by...? $8.74M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion 132d NBA MVP 112d 2026 Winter Olympics: Ice Hockey Gold Medal Winner 4d 2026 Winter Olympics: Most Gold Medals 4d Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF 8h See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026? $99.6K DonaldinhoTrumpito See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive Last Word Olympics gold rush The world's best are chasing glory in Italy. Will your country lead the gold medal tally, or will a rival nation take it all? Tap Predictions on MetaMask Mobile to make your call on Polymarket. Read more → ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 64 Bleecker Street, 167 New York, NY 10012 U.S.