Iran Campaign on Pause?

February 2nd, 2026 Unsubscribe Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Top Stories Cancel Easter in Tehran? A U.S. strike on Iran by March is no longer seen as "base case." This move follows WSJ reporting that military preparations for a large-scale regime change effort, and defending U.S. allies in the region will take more time. Read more → Breaking: Your Crypto Bags Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have continued their slide following Trump's announcement that he will appoint QE-skeptical Kevin Warsh to lead the Fed. How low will computer coins go? Check odds → ​ Wallet Watch Ride or Die with Judy Shelton The Warsh pick for Fed Chair seems to have spooked some growth investors. Two new anonymous Polymarket wallets have been accumulating large positions that Trump will reverse the Warsh pick and go with Shelton. They will each walk away with $1m+ if it happens. View Wallet → ​ Breaking News Odds Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? View market → 89% +39% US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? View market → 81% +45% See all Breaking → ​ Ending Soon Ends In "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office 21m "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office 21m #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6? 3d Bank of England decision in February? 2d See all Ending Soon → ​ New Listed Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? 8h ago Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28? 9h ago Who will be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? 9h ago See all New → ​ Hot Polymarkets 24H Volume Fed decision in March? $10.42M How long will the Government Shutdown last? $4.28M Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 $4.12M Presidential Election Winner 2028 $3.97M Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 $3.50M See all Hot Polymarkets → ​ Top Sports Starts In Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B 9h Open Sud de France: Mackenzie McDonald vs Aleksandar Kovacevic 6d Seattle vs. New England 6d 2026 Men's Australian Open Winner 12h English Premier League Winner 113d See all Top Sports → ​ Whale Moves "No" Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? $490.0K 2king See Wallet → "No" Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? $300.1K HH168 See Wallet → "Yes" Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? $216.1K SlavaUkraini See Wallet → See all Whale Moves → ​ Top Comments Powered by @Poly_Archive ​ If you have any feedback on Polymarket, drop us a line at support@polymarket.com. If you don't wish to receive these emails you can unsubscribe here. 64 Bleecker Street, 167 New York, NY 10012 U.S.