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Welcome to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:
 BolsonaroFan One of Polymarket's OG whales, @gopfan2, saw the Bolsonaro surge coming and is already up 49% on the trade.
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Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? View market → |
18%
-76%
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Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3? View market → |
53%
+39%
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Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? View market → |
72%
+20%
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Who will be on the Vogue Best Dressed list? |
13h |
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The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office |
13h |
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"The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office |
1d |
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Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31? |
11h ago |
| Hot Polymarkets |
24H Volume |
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Eurovision Winner 2026 |
$2.18M |
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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 |
$1.59M |
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Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? |
$1.28M |
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LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 |
5h |
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Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC |
3h |
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Raptors vs. Cavaliers |
17h |
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs |
17h |
Last Word
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Arms Race A Democratic operative breaks down what the Supreme Court’s Callais ruling means for the midterms.
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Polymarket U.S. 8th-seed Magic take on Detroit (3-3) in a winner-take-all Game 7 today at 3:30 ET. $500 → $1,811 if Orlando pulls off the upset. Get $20 to trade with code "POLYG"
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228 Park Ave S, PMB 750480
New York, NY 10003-1502 U.S.
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