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January 18th, 2026 Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. The situations we are monitoring this morning: Greenland Tariffs Trump announced plans to tariff several European countries until they agree to sell us Greenland. Polymarket traders are skeptical it happens. |
Portugal Portugal's first round presidential election is today. And center-left candidate António José Seguro is projected to win following a runoff in February. Our full betting rundown of the race after the jump. |
| Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026? View market → | 93%+33% |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? View market → | 29%+16% |
| Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31? View market → | 47%+12% |
| "28 Years Later: Bone Temple" Opening Weekend Box Office | 1d |
| Han Duck-soo Prison Time? | 2d |
| Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Nominations | 3d |
| Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations | 3d |
| LCK Cup 2026: Winner | 15h ago |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | 1d ago |
| Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Jan 19 at ___? | 1d ago |
| Hot Polymarkets | 24H Volume |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | $5.11M |
| Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? | $4.35M |
| US strikes Iran by...? | $4.27M |
| Super Bowl Champion 2026 | $3.00M |
| Super Bowl Champion 2026 | 21d |
| English Premier League Winner | 128d |
Whale Moves | "No" Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | $196.3K |
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| "No" Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | $133.2K |
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| "No" Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | $74.4K |
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