Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:
Tucker: Prison or White House?
Tucker Carlson has released a video claiming the CIA is preparing criminal charges against him for being an unregistered agent of Iran. This has vaulted him into third place for the 2028 Republican nomination.
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"Honor of taking Cuba"
Odds of a leadership change in Cuba this year are hitting all time highs. The country's power grid has collapsed amid a U.S. oil embargo, and Trump has been dropping some subtle hints: "I do believe I'll ... have the honor of taking Cuba. That would be good. That's a big honor," he told reporters yesterday.
Bay of Pigs 2.0?
@RememberAmalek, one of Polymarket's sharpest geopolitical contrarians, seems to think Havana is off the table for now.
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ Week of March 16?
ECB Interest Rates: March 2026
Who will be voted off Survivor: Season 50 this week? (March 18)
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?
Will Rolex prices hit __ by April 30?
Fed decision in March?
Netanyahu out by...?
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
The Masters - Winner
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
F1 Drivers' Champion
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