Welcome back to your daily mind meld with the Polymarket order book. What we're watching today:
G'Recession
U.S. recession odds are up sharply in the last week, briefly touching 40% last night.
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The Senate
Democrats' 2026 Senate odds are also up in the last week - a new all time high.
Safe from the Draft?
Domer, one of Polymarket's sharpest geopolitical traders, is positioned for an Iran regime change scenario without the deployment of U.S. troops.
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
"Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
February 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?
#1 song on Spotify this week? (March 13)
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
Fed decision in March?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
76ers vs. Cavaliers
Pro Baseball: 2026 National League Champion
The Masters - Winner
"No" Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
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